Will Thailand emerge from its 'lost decade'?

Political instability has seen Thailand pass through 12 military coups since 1932 and 19 constitutions - What does a possible new constitution mean for the south-east Asian nation now.

In this Nov. 8, 2008, file photo, a young Thai beggar waits for donations near a popular tourist area in downtown Bangkok, Thailand. AP

In this Nov. 8, 2008, file photo, a young Thai beggar waits for donations near a popular tourist area in downtown Bangkok, Thailand. Source: AP

Thailand began voting on a junta-crafted constitution Sunday in a referendum where open debate has been banned, as opponents warned the document will perpetuate military power and deepen divisions.

The poll offers Thais their first chance to vote since generals toppled the elected government of Yingluck Shinawatra in 2014.

The kingdom is split after a decade of political turmoil that has dented growth, seen democracy shunted aside and left scores dead in rival street protests.
Thai electoral volunteer officials prepare ballot boxes and ballot papers for the referendum on a new constitution at Ratchathewi District Office in Bangkok, Thailand, 06 August 2016. EPA
Thai electoral volunteer officials prepare ballot boxes and ballot papers for the referendum on a new constitution at Ratchathewi District Office in Bangkok. Source: EPA
The military says their new constitution will curb endemic political corruption and bring stability after the dizzying merry-go-round of recent years.

But critics say it aims to neuter civilian politicians and tighten the hold of the military - and their allies in the royalist elite - over the country.

Potchana Surapitic, 53, who voted for the constitution at a Bangkok polling station, said she was convinced the military's promise to hold full elections next year was the country's best chance for stability.

"I want the situation to return to normal and I want elections," she told AFP.

"But I also want a government that can manage the country, I don't want it to be a vacuum like before."

Preliminary results of the referendum are expected around 9:00 pm (1400 GMT) on Sunday.

Coup leader casts vote - Thailand has a long history of turbulence

The military has successfully seized power 12 times since the end of absolute monarchy in 1932 and this constitution will be the kingdom's 20th if passed.
Former Thai Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra (C) receives flowers from supporters as she arrives for her trial on criminal charges stemming from her government's rice price subsidy, at the Supreme Court's Criminal Division for Holders of Political Posit
Former Thai Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra (C) receives flowers from supporters as she arrives for her trial on criminal charges. Source: EPA
But the latest chapter of the political crisis - dubbed the "lost decade" - has been particularly painful.

Since a 2006 coup, power has flipped between elected governments led by or linked to self-exiled billionaire Thaksin Shinawatra - Yingluck's elder brother - and rule by the army and its establishment supporters.

The tension has been compounded by the frail health of 88-year-old King Bhumibol Adulyadej, as elites jostle ahead of any transition.

After casting his vote in Bangkok junta leader Prayut Chan-O-Cha urged people to participate in a poll that until Sunday had garnered little enthusiasm among the public.

"This is the future of Thailand," he told reporters, adding "this is democracy so all eligible voters please come out".

Prayut has banned open debate on the contentious charter and scores of people have been arrested under a special law to curb opposition.

The most divisive clauses call for a junta-appointed senate - including six seats reserved for military commanders - to check elected lawmakers and increased powers for courts, which are already accused of political bias.

Another clause makes it easy to begin impeachment proceedings.

'Robber's constitution' -Junta opponents believe the charter will further warp Thai democracy

"The coup makers tore up the old constitution and robbed us of our rights, promoting themselves to control the government," 'No' voter, Ohm Kontaogan, 35, told AFP in Bangkok.

It is a "robber's constitution", he added.
A woman casts her vote at a polling station in Thai capital Bangkok Kyodo
A woman casts her vote at a polling station in Thai capital Bangkok. Source: Kyodo News
Paul Chambers, a Thailand based expert on the military, said a vote against the charter would "reflect popular frustration with the junta and help to galvanize greater popular unity against" the regime.

But the military would stay on, he added.

Fifty million Thais are registered to vote.

The two main political parties in Thailand - who rarely agree - have both come out against the charter.

They fear the appointed senate, and a new proportional representation system enshrined in the new constitution, will make it harder for major parties to win outright majorities.

A low turnout is likely to favour the military.

Junta chief Prayut Chan-O-Cha has promised to hold elections in the summer of 2017, whether or not the charter is passed.

But his previous election date promises have slipped.


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4 min read
Published 7 August 2016 4:28pm
Updated 7 August 2016 4:37pm
Source: AFP


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